B99 OPL State Cup predictions

OPL schedule and scores

B99 OPL Cup semis
Model based on data from 05/01/2012 to 04/27/2013
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04/28/2013 CFC Galacticos B99 vs Westside Timbers Copa B99, HW 50%, AW 29%, T 21%, pred score 2.1-1.6
04/28/2013 Hood River Dynamos Blue B99 vs FC Portland Navy B99, HW 30%, AW 47%, T 23%, pred score 1.4-1.8
 

B99 OPL Cup quarter finals
Model based on data from 05/01/2012 to 04/23/2013
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04/27/2013 CFC Galacticos B99 vs Southside SC Barcelona B99, HW 90%, AW 3%, T 7%, pred score 3.4-0.5 (1-0)
04/27/2013 Eastside Timbers Red B99 vs FC Portland Navy B99, HW 4%, AW 86%, T 10%, pred score 0.5-2.9 (0-2)
04/27/2013 Hood River Dynamos Blue B99 vs NEU Galazios B99, HW 92%, AW 3%, T 5%, pred score 4.2-0.8 (3-0)
04/27/2013 Oregon Rush Nike B99 vs Westside Timbers Copa B99, HW 4%, AW 90%, T 6%, pred score 1-4.4 (0-6)

Prelims predictions (green shows actual result in terms of bracket standing)
Result of 10,000 simulated preliminary rounds.  Numbers are percent of time that team finishes in that place.   Bracket D missing due to code glitch.  Based on model fit to games up to start of prelims.

Flight A
                           1st 2nd 3rd
CFC Galacticos B99          50  43   7
FC Portland Navy B99        48  44   8
Westside Timbers Samba B99   3  13  85


Flight B
                          1st 2nd 3rd
Westside Timbers Copa B99  93   7   0
Eastside Timbers Red B99    7  82  11
EMFC Celtic B99             0  11  89


Flight C
                            1st 2nd 3rd
Hood River Dynamos Blue B99  95   5   0
Southside SC Barcelona B99    4  62  34
THUSC Argon B99               1  33  66