Friday, March 22, 2013

WA G01 Challenge Cup Predictions

Scroll down for Div 2

4/20/2013 Updated with quarter-final predictions


G01 WA Challenge Cup Div 1 (WSYSA schedules and results)
Individual games predictions 
 
G01 WA Challenge Cup Div 1 finals 
Model based on data from 05/01/2012 to 04/19/2013
---------------------------------------------
04/28/2013 WA Rush Nike G01 vs Seattle United Copa G01, HW 18%, AW 58%, T 24%, pred score 0.8-1.7 
 
G01 WA Challenge Cup Div 1 semis 
Model based on data from 05/01/2012 to 04/19/2013
---------------------------------------------
04/27/2013 Seattle United Copa G01 vs Eastside FC Red G01, HW 58%, AW 19%, T 23%, pred score 1.8-0.9  actual: HW (2-0)
04/27/2013 WPFC Black G01 vs WA Rush Nike G01, HW 92%, AW 2%, T 6%, pred score 3.5-0.4  actual: AW (0-2)
 
Quarter-final predictions
04/20/2013 Crossfire Premier A Schmetzer G01 vs WA Rush Nike G01, HW 69%, AW 15% (0-2), T 16%, pred score 2.7-1.2
04/20/2013 Eastside FC Red G01 vs Vancouver Timbers Red G01, HW 59% (3-0), AW 21%, T 20%, pred score 2.2-1.3
04/20/2013 Seattle United Copa G01 vs Harbor Premier G01, HW 45% (3-1), AW 24%, T 31%, pred score 1.1-0.7
04/21/2013 WPFC Black G01 vs NWN Red G01, HW 99% (3-0), AW 0%, T 1%, pred score 5.8-0.2
 
Bracket simulations (results in green and to left) 
 
A
                              1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Marysville Force G01            0   5  20  75   3rd with 12 pts
WPFC Black G01                100   0   0   0   1st with 29 pts
Vancouver Timbers Red G01       0  65  29   6   2nd with 19 pts
Crossfire Premier B Vadim G01   0  30  51  19   4th with 1 pt


B
                                  1st 2nd 3rd 4th
PacNW Maroon G01                    8  24  40  29  3rd with 12 pts
Crossfire Premier A Schmetzer G01  67  24   8   2  1st with 22 pts
Snohomish Black G01                 3  12  28  57  4th with 5pts
Harbor Premier G01                 23  41  25  12  2nd with 17 pts


C
                            1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th
Seattle United Copa G01      73  19   6   2   0  1st with 38 pts
Vancouver Timbers White G01   3  14  27  44  12
PacNW Blue G01                8  27  35  25   5  3rd with 19 pts
WA Rush Nike G01             16  39  27  14   2  2nd with 32 pts
Three Rivers SC Black G01     0   1   3  15  81


D
                    1st 2nd 3rd 4th
CWSA Bravery G01      0   7  27  66   4th with 0 pts
Eastside FC Red G01  84  14   2   0   1st with 38 pts
NWN Red G01           3  22  48  27   2nd with 18 pts
FC Alliance A G01    13  58  23   7   3rd with 10 pts
---------------------------------------------------------
 

G01 WA Challenge Cup Div 2 (WSYSA schedule and results
 
G01 WA Challenge Cup Div 2 semis 
Model based on data from 05/01/2012 to 04/19/2013
--------------------------------------------- 
04/28/2013 PacNW White G01 vs WPFC White G01, HW 13%, AW 73%, T 14%, pred score 1.3-3
 
G01 WA Challenge Cup Div 2 semis Model based on data from 05/01/2012 to 04/19/2013 --------------------------------------------- 04/27/2013 Eastside FC White G01 vs WPFC White G01, HW 38%, AW 40%, T 22%, pred score 1.8-1.8 actual: AW (1-2) 04/27/2013 PacNW White G01 vs WA Rush Swoosh G01, HW 14%, AW 67%, T 19%, pred score 0.9-2.2 actual: HW (2-1)
 
Quarter-finals predictions
04/20/2013 Eastside FC White G01 vs RV Slammers Orange G01, HW 26% (2-1), AW 46%, T 28%, pred score 0.9-1.3
04/20/2013 Pacific FC White G01 vs WPFC White G01, HW 10%, AW 77% (0-3), T 13%, pred score 1.1-3.1
04/20/2013 PacNW White G01 vs Sun City Strikers Red G01, HW 55% (3-1), AW 24%, T 21%, pred score 2.2-1.4
04/20/2013 WA Rush Swoosh G01 vs Seattle United Tango G01, HW 68% (2-0), AW 15%, T 17%, pred score 2.6-1.2
 
Bracket simulations (actual results in green and to right)
Individual game predictions
 
A
                              1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Crossfire Premier E Dolan G01   0   4  40  56  4th
Eastside FC Blue G01            1   8  48  42  3rd
Sun City Strikers Red G01      27  61  10   2  2nd
PacNW White G01                71  26   2   0  1st


B
                              1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th
Eastside FC Grey G01            0   0  29  34  37
RV Slammers Orange G01         60  39   1   0   0
Crossfire Premier D Godoy G01   0   0  28  34  38
WA Rush Swoosh G01             39  59   1   0   0
Westsound FC Black G01          0   1  42  32  25


C
                              1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th
Seattle United Samba G01        0   4  22  34  40  4th
WA Rush Classic G01             0   4  21  34  42  5th
Crossfire Premier C James G01  19  62  14   4   1  2nd
WPFC Navy G01                   1  11  42  28  18  3rd
Eastside FC White G01          79  19   2   0   0  1st


D
                         1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th
Harbor Premier Green G01  31  28  22  13   7  3rd
Pacific FC White G01      23  26  25  17   9  1st
FWFC Blue G01             37  27  19  11   5  2nd
NWN Blue G01               3   7  14  27  49  5th
Snohomish Red G01          6  12  20  31  30  45h


E
                             1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th
Seattle United Tango G01       9  48  29  13   0   2nd
Westsound FC Red G01           1  13  28  53   5   4th
Highline Premier FC Blue G01   4  28  40  28   1   3rd
PacNW Gold G01                 0   0   0   6  94   5th
WPFC White G01                86  12   2   0   0   1st

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