Thursday, January 10, 2013

Simulating the 2013 SoCal G01 President's Preliminary Rounds

Here I simulated the preliminary rounds for the SoCal G01 President's Cup (State Cup). This uses a league points rule (3 for win; 1 for tie). I used just a GD tie-breaker (2nd tie-breaker used) instead of a head-to-head (1st tie breaker used) since the GD tie-breaker was easy to implement and I assume they are fairly correlated. After the preliminary rounds, the 4th place teams are dropped as teams enter a round of 64. Predictions for the individual games are at the bottom (scroll way down).

Updated Jan 14, 2013.  I accidentally used a GD max for the tie breaker of 10 goals rather than 3 listed on the rules.

Updated Feb 18, 2013.  Added the results.  Green is finished 1st.  Yellow is finished 2nd.

Results from 10,000 simulated preliminary rounds.
Numbers are percent of simulated rounds where team was in 1st, 2nd, 3rd, 4th

Bracket A
                           1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Celtic Hoops G01            25  60  14   1
Claremont Stars Black G01    0   1  17  81
Santa Barbara SC White G01   2  15  66  18
So Cal Blues Kale G01       72  24   3   0


Bracket B
                            1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Eagles SC White G01          72  27   1   0
Empire SC G01                 0   0   3  97
Poway Vaqueros Green G01      1   8  88   3
San Diego SC Elite Navy G01  27  65   8   0


Bracket C
                                            1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Carlsbad Lightning Black G01                 14  27  32  28
California Soccer Academy Cypress Black G01  59  24  11   5
Freedom FC G01                                7  18  29  46
Slammers FC Maroon G01                       20  31  27  21


Bracket D
                         1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Canyon FC G01             62  25  10   3
Eagles SC Blue G01        14  30  35  21
Hotspurs Red G01          22  34  29  15
Legends FC Riverside G01   3  11  25  61


Bracket E
                                           1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Arsenal FC G01                             100   0   0   0
California Soccer Academy Xtreme White G01   0   0   8  92
San Diego Football Academy G01               0  23  70   7
Santa Clarita Valley Magic G01               0  76  23   1


Bracket F
                          1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Albion SC White G01         0   1  10  89
Olimpia SC G01              3  78  18   1
Pateadoes MV G01            0  18  72   9
South Bay Force Quigs G01  97   3   0   0


Bracket G
                               1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Legends FC Corona Eastvale G01  49  35  12   3
Coronado YSL Select G01          6  17  42  35
Real So Cal Blue G01             3   9  31  57
Slammers FC G01                 42  39  15   5


Bracket H
                               1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Arsenal FC South G01             0   0   5  95
Laguna Hills Eclipse White G01  94   5   0   0
LA Premier FC G01                2  36  59   4
San Diego Surf SC Premier G01    4  59  36   1


Bracket I
                                       1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Del Mar Carmel Valley Sharks White G01   0   0  18  82
Fullerton Rangers White G01             74  26   0   0
Strikers FC Petrus G01                   0   3  79  18
West Coast FC G01                       26  71   3   0


Bracket J
                              1st 2nd 3rd 4th
FRAM Soccer Club G01           19  31  45   4
Simi Valley Eclipse G01        31  36  30   2
Hotspurs Premier G01           50  32  18   1
Laguna Hills Eclipse Blue G01   0   1   7  92


Bracket K
                            1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Carlsbad Wave FC Black G01    0  11  42  47
FC Blades G01                 0  11  41  48
So Cal Blues Baker G01      100   0   0   0
Westside Breakers White G01   0  78  17   4


Bracket L
                              1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Beach FC White G01              1   4  23  72
West Coast FC United Blue G01  57  33   9   1
Fullerton Rangers Blue G01      6  18  53  23
San Diego SC Elite White G01   37  44  15   3


Bracket M
                                1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Canyon PSA Blue G01              89  10   1   0
Rebels Soccer Club Martinez G01   0   6  29  64
So Cal Athletic Stanwood G01      1  17  50  31
South Bay Force Blue G01         10  66  20   5


Bracket N
                                   1st 2nd 3rd
Temecula Valley SC Hawks Black G01   4  13  83
Strikers FC Carroll G01             46  46   8
Conejo Valley United Blue G01       49  41   9


Bracket O
                                1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Legends FC South G01             51  32  16   2
Manchester SC Gold G01           14  28  48   9
LA Premier FC Santa Clarita G01   0   2  12  86
West Coast FC United G01         34  38  24   3


Bracket P
                                   1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Downey FC City G01                   1  66  27   6
Exiles SC Red G01                    0   5  21  74
Encinitas Express Soccer White G01   0  28  52  20
Legends FC G01                      99   1   0   0


Bracket Q
                                  1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Carlsbad Lightning Red G01         80  18   2   0
San Diego United FC Black G01       0   2  16  82
Claremont Stars G01                18  63  17   2
Manhattan Beach Sand and Surf G01   2  17  65  16


Bracket R
                             1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Arsenal FC White G01           6  17  36  41
Avengers SC Blue G01           5  16  33  45
Los Gauchos SC G01            25  41  23  11
Rebels Soccer Club Lopez G01  64  25   8   2


Bracket S
                            1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Eagles SC G01                77  19   4   0
San Diego Surf SC G01         0   1   7  92
BYSC Corona United Blue G01   6  27  61   6
Strikers FC Macias G01       17  53  28   2


Bracket T
                            1st 2nd 3rd 4th
Real So Cal White G01        17  66  17   1
Tustin United G01             0   0   8  92
FC Golden State G01           2  17  74   7
San Diego Surf SC White G01  81  17   2   0

Game Predictions H vs A
% are the model probabilities for various match outcomes.  'pred score' is the mean predicted score H-A
------------------------------------

Bracket A
02/09/2013 Celtic Hoops G01 vs So Cal Blues Kale G01, HW 16%, AW 58%, T 26%, pred score 0.7-1.5
02/09/2013 Claremont Stars Black G01 vs Celtic Hoops G01, HW 3%, AW 89%, T 8%, pred score 0.5-3.2
02/09/2013 Santa Barbara SC White G01 vs Claremont Stars Black G01, HW 67%, AW 13%, T 20%, pred score 2-0.8
02/09/2013 So Cal Blues Kale G01 vs Santa Barbara SC White G01, HW 83%, AW 5%, T 13%, pred score 2.5-0.4
02/10/2013 Claremont Stars Black G01 vs So Cal Blues Kale G01, HW 1%, AW 93%, T 5%, pred score 0.2-3.3
02/10/2013 Santa Barbara SC White G01 vs Celtic Hoops G01, HW 13%, AW 70%, T 17%, pred score 0.9-2.4 
 
Bracket B 
02/09/2013 Eagles SC White G01 vs Poway Vaqueros Green G01, HW 92%, AW 2%, T 6%, pred score 3.7-0.5
02/09/2013 Empire SC G01 vs San Diego SC Elite Navy G01, HW 0%, AW 100%, T 0%, pred score 0.3-6.5
02/09/2013 Poway Vaqueros Green G01 vs Empire SC G01, HW 86%, AW 4%, T 10%, pred score 2.9-0.4
02/09/2013 San Diego SC Elite Navy G01 vs Eagles SC White G01, HW 21%, AW 58%, T 21%, pred score 1.2-2.1
02/10/2013 Eagles SC White G01 vs Empire SC G01, HW 100%, AW 0%, T 0%, pred score 9.2-0.2
02/10/2013 Poway Vaqueros Green G01 vs San Diego SC Elite Navy G01, HW 7%, AW 80%, T 13%, pred score 0.7-2.6 
 
Bracket C 
02/09/2013 Carlsbad Lightning Black G01 vs Freedom FC G01, HW 38%, AW 26%, T 36%, pred score 0.9-0.7
02/09/2013 California Soccer Academy Cypress Black G01 vs Carlsbad Lightning Black G01, HW 53%, AW 15%, T 32%, pred score 1.2-0.5
02/09/2013 Freedom FC G01 vs Slammers FC Maroon G01, HW 23%, AW 48%, T 29%, pred score 0.8-1.3
02/09/2013 Slammers FC Maroon G01 vs California Soccer Academy Cypress Black G01, HW 19%, AW 54%, T 27%, pred score 0.7-1.4
02/10/2013 Freedom FC G01 vs California Soccer Academy Cypress Black G01, HW 11%, AW 66%, T 23%, pred score 0.5-1.7
02/10/2013 Slammers FC Maroon G01 vs Carlsbad Lightning Black G01, HW 37%, AW 28%, T 35%, pred score 0.9-0.7 
 
Bracket D 
02/09/2013 Canyon FC G01 vs Eagles SC Blue G01, HW 55%, AW 16%, T 30%, pred score 1.3-0.5
02/09/2013 Eagles SC Blue G01 vs Legends FC Riverside G01, HW 49%, AW 19%, T 32%, pred score 1.1-0.6
02/09/2013 Hotspurs Red G01 vs Canyon FC G01, HW 18%, AW 60%, T 21%, pred score 1-2
02/09/2013 Legends FC Riverside G01 vs Hotspurs Red G01, HW 15%, AW 64%, T 21%, pred score 0.9-2
02/10/2013 Canyon FC G01 vs Legends FC Riverside G01, HW 71%, AW 7%, T 21%, pred score 1.8-0.4
02/10/2013 Eagles SC Blue G01 vs Hotspurs Red G01, HW 32%, AW 43%, T 25%, pred score 1.2-1.5 
 
Bracket E 
02/09/2013 Arsenal FC G01 vs Santa Clarita Valley Magic G01, HW 98%, AW 0%, T 2%, pred score 5-0.3
02/09/2013 California Soccer Academy Xtreme White G01 vs San Diego Football Academy G01, HW 6%, AW 82%, T 12%, pred score 0.6-2.8
02/09/2013 San Diego Football Academy G01 vs Arsenal FC G01, HW 0%, AW 100%, T 0%, pred score 0.2-6.7
02/09/2013 Santa Clarita Valley Magic G01 vs California Soccer Academy Xtreme White G01, HW 93%, AW 2%, T 5%, pred score 3.8-0.5
02/10/2013 California Soccer Academy Xtreme White G01 vs Arsenal FC G01, HW 0%, AW 100%, T 0%, pred score 0.1-9.4
02/10/2013 San Diego Football Academy G01 vs Santa Clarita Valley Magic G01, HW 19%, AW 63%, T 17%, pred score 1.5-2.7 
 
Bracket F 
02/09/2013 Albion SC White G01 vs South Bay Force Quigs G01, HW 0%, AW 100%, T 0%, pred score 0.1-6.5
02/09/2013 Olimpia SC G01 vs Pateadoes MV G01, HW 66%, AW 15%, T 19%, pred score 2.3-1
02/10/2013 Albion SC White G01 vs Olimpia SC G01, HW 3%, AW 83%, T 14%, pred score 0.2-2.2
02/10/2013 Olimpia SC G01 vs South Bay Force Quigs G01, HW 3%, AW 82%, T 15%, pred score 0.2-2.1
02/10/2013 Pateadoes MV G01 vs Albion SC White G01, HW 84%, AW 5%, T 11%, pred score 3-0.7
02/10/2013 South Bay Force Quigs G01 vs Pateadoes MV G01, HW 100%, AW 0%, T 0%, pred score 6.8-0.3 
 
Bracket G 
02/09/2013 Legends FC Corona Eastvale G01 vs Slammers FC G01, HW 39%, AW 30%, T 31%, pred score 1.1-0.9
02/09/2013 Coronado YSL Select G01 vs Legends FC Corona Eastvale G01, HW 12%, AW 65%, T 23%, pred score 0.6-1.7
02/09/2013 Real So Cal Blue G01 vs Coronado YSL Select G01, HW 29%, AW 46%, T 25%, pred score 1.2-1.5
02/09/2013 Slammers FC G01 vs Real So Cal Blue G01, HW 74%, AW 10%, T 16%, pred score 2.4-0.7
02/10/2013 Coronado YSL Select G01 vs Slammers FC G01, HW 14%, AW 65%, T 21%, pred score 0.8-1.9
02/10/2013 Real So Cal Blue G01 vs Legends FC Corona Eastvale G01, HW 8%, AW 73%, T 18%, pred score 0.5-2.1 
 
Bracket H 
02/09/2013 Arsenal FC South G01 vs LA Premier FC G01, HW 5%, AW 83%, T 13%, pred score 0.4-2.5
02/09/2013 Laguna Hills Eclipse White G01 vs San Diego Surf SC Premier G01, HW 86%, AW 4%, T 10%, pred score 3.1-0.5
02/10/2013 Arsenal FC South G01 vs San Diego Surf SC Premier G01, HW 2%, AW 92%, T 6%, pred score 0.4-3.5
02/10/2013 LA Premier FC G01 vs Laguna Hills Eclipse White G01, HW 2%, AW 90%, T 8%, pred score 0.4-3.2
02/10/2013 Laguna Hills Eclipse White G01 vs Arsenal FC South G01, HW 100%, AW 0%, T 0%, pred score 8.7-0.2
02/10/2013 San Diego Surf SC Premier G01 vs LA Premier FC G01, HW 45%, AW 26%, T 29%, pred score 1.3-0.9 
 
Bracket I 
02/09/2013 Del Mar Carmel Valley Sharks White G01 vs West Coast FC G01, HW 0%, AW 95%, T 4%, pred score 0.1-3.4
02/09/2013 Fullerton Rangers White G01 vs Del Mar Carmel Valley Sharks White G01, HW 99%, AW 0%, T 1%, pred score 4.9-0.1
02/09/2013 Strikers FC Petrus G01 vs Fullerton Rangers White G01, HW 1%, AW 96%, T 4%, pred score 0.2-3.8
02/09/2013 West Coast FC G01 vs Strikers FC Petrus G01, HW 87%, AW 3%, T 11%, pred score 2.6-0.3
02/10/2013 Strikers FC Petrus G01 vs Del Mar Carmel Valley Sharks White G01, HW 60%, AW 10%, T 30%, pred score 1.2-0.3
02/10/2013 West Coast FC G01 vs Fullerton Rangers White G01, HW 18%, AW 52%, T 31%, pred score 0.6-1.2 
 
Bracket J 
02/09/2013 FRAM Soccer Club G01 vs Hotspurs Premier G01, HW 20%, AW 52%, T 28%, pred score 0.7-1.4
02/09/2013 Simi Valley Eclipse G01 vs Laguna Hills Eclipse Blue G01, HW 86%, AW 3%, T 11%, pred score 2.7-0.4
02/10/2013 FRAM Soccer Club G01 vs Simi Valley Eclipse G01, HW 28%, AW 44%, T 28%, pred score 1-1.3
02/10/2013 Hotspurs Premier G01 vs Laguna Hills Eclipse Blue G01, HW 89%, AW 2%, T 9%, pred score 2.8-0.3
02/10/2013 Laguna Hills Eclipse Blue G01 vs FRAM Soccer Club G01, HW 5%, AW 83%, T 12%, pred score 0.5-2.7
02/10/2013 Simi Valley Eclipse G01 vs Hotspurs Premier G01, HW 26%, AW 42%, T 33%, pred score 0.7-1 
 
Bracket K 
02/09/2013 Carlsbad Wave FC Black G01 vs So Cal Blues Baker G01, HW 0%, AW 100%, T 0%, pred score 0.1-14.3
02/09/2013 FC Blades G01 vs Westside Breakers White G01, HW 10%, AW 76%, T 14%, pred score 1.1-3
02/10/2013 Carlsbad Wave FC Black G01 vs FC Blades G01, HW 45%, AW 31%, T 24%, pred score 1.6-1.3
02/10/2013 FC Blades G01 vs So Cal Blues Baker G01, HW 0%, AW 100%, T 0%, pred score 0.1-10.4
02/10/2013 So Cal Blues Baker G01 vs Westside Breakers White G01, HW 100%, AW 0%, T 0%, pred score 11.6-0.2
02/10/2013 Westside Breakers White G01 vs Carlsbad Wave FC Black G01, HW 77%, AW 12%, T 11%, pred score 4.1-1.8 
 
Bracket L 
02/09/2013 Beach FC White G01 vs San Diego SC Elite White G01, HW 6%, AW 80%, T 14%, pred score 0.6-2.6
02/09/2013 West Coast FC United Blue G01 vs Fullerton Rangers Blue G01, HW 69%, AW 12%, T 20%, pred score 2.1-0.7
02/10/2013 Beach FC White G01 vs Fullerton Rangers Blue G01, HW 20%, AW 52%, T 27%, pred score 0.8-1.4
02/10/2013 Fullerton Rangers Blue G01 vs San Diego SC Elite White G01, HW 15%, AW 59%, T 25%, pred score 0.7-1.6
02/10/2013 San Diego SC Elite White G01 vs West Coast FC United Blue G01, HW 32%, AW 44%, T 24%, pred score 1.3-1.6
02/10/2013 West Coast FC United Blue G01 vs Beach FC White G01, HW 88%, AW 4%, T 8%, pred score 3.4-0.6 
 
Bracket M 
02/09/2013 Canyon PSA Blue G01 vs So Cal Athletic Stanwood G01, HW 91%, AW 3%, T 6%, pred score 3.9-0.6
02/09/2013 Rebels Soccer Club Martinez G01 vs Canyon PSA Blue G01, HW 1%, AW 97%, T 2%, pred score 0.6-5.3
02/09/2013 So Cal Athletic Stanwood G01 vs South Bay Force Blue G01, HW 17%, AW 65%, T 17%, pred score 1.3-2.5
02/09/2013 South Bay Force Blue G01 vs Rebels Soccer Club Martinez G01, HW 79%, AW 10%, T 12%, pred score 3.5-1.3
02/10/2013 Canyon PSA Blue G01 vs South Bay Force Blue G01, HW 79%, AW 9%, T 12%, pred score 3.2-1
02/10/2013 So Cal Athletic Stanwood G01 vs Rebels Soccer Club Martinez G01, HW 51%, AW 28%, T 21%, pred score 2.1-1.6 

Bracket N
02/09/2013 Temecula Valley SC Hawks Black G01 vs Strikers FC Carroll G01, HW 8%, AW 75%, T 17%, pred score 0.6-2.2
02/09/2013 Strikers FC Carroll G01 vs Conejo Valley United Blue G01, HW 35%, AW 34%, T 32%, pred score 1-0.9
02/10/2013 Temecula Valley SC Hawks Black G01 vs Conejo Valley United Blue G01, HW 7%, AW 79%, T 13%, pred score 0.7-2.7 
 
Bracket O 
02/09/2013 Legends FC South G01 vs West Coast FC United G01, HW 42%, AW 30%, T 28%, pred score 1.3-1
02/09/2013 Manchester SC Gold G01 vs LA Premier FC Santa Clarita G01, HW 72%, AW 9%, T 19%, pred score 2-0.6 
 02/10/2013 LA Premier FC Santa Clarita G01 vs Legends FC South G01, HW 3%, AW 88%, T 9%, pred score 0.4-3
02/10/2013 Legends FC South G01 vs Manchester SC Gold G01, HW 56%, AW 19%, T 25%, pred score 1.6-0.8
02/10/2013 Manchester SC Gold G01 vs West Coast FC United G01, HW 24%, AW 48%, T 28%, pred score 0.9-1.4
02/10/2013 West Coast FC United G01 vs LA Premier FC Santa Clarita G01, HW 83%, AW 5%, T 13%, pred score 2.6-0.5 
 
Bracket P 
02/09/2013 Downey FC City G01 vs Legends FC G01, HW 1%, AW 94%, T 5%, pred score 0.3-3.7
02/09/2013 Exiles SC Red G01 vs Downey FC City G01, HW 8%, AW 75%, T 17%, pred score 0.6-2.2
02/09/2013 Encinitas Express Soccer White G01 vs Exiles SC Red G01, HW 59%, AW 16%, T 26%, pred score 1.5-0.6
02/09/2013 Legends FC G01 vs Encinitas Express Soccer White G01, HW 97%, AW 0%, T 2%, pred score 4.3-0.2
02/10/2013 Downey FC City G01 vs Encinitas Express Soccer White G01, HW 53%, AW 23%, T 25%, pred score 1.6-1
02/10/2013 Exiles SC Red G01 vs Legends FC G01, HW 0%, AW 99%, T 0%, pred score 0.1-5.8 
 
Bracket Q 
02/09/2013 Carlsbad Lightning Red G01 vs Claremont Stars G01, HW 61%, AW 16%, T 23%, pred score 1.8-0.8
02/09/2013 San Diego United FC Black G01 vs Manhattan Beach Sand and Surf G01, HW 12%, AW 57%, T 31%, pred score 0.4-1.2
02/10/2013 Carlsbad Lightning Red G01 vs San Diego United FC Black G01, HW 98%, AW 0%, T 2%, pred score 4.7-0.2
02/10/2013 Claremont Stars G01 vs Manhattan Beach Sand and Surf G01, HW 56%, AW 13%, T 30%, pred score 1.2-0.4
02/10/2013 Manhattan Beach Sand and Surf G01 vs Carlsbad Lightning Red G01, HW 4%, AW 85%, T 11%, pred score 0.4-2.7
02/10/2013 San Diego United FC Black G01 vs Claremont Stars G01, HW 3%, AW 83%, T 14%, pred score 0.2-2.2 
 
Bracket R 
02/09/2013 Arsenal FC White G01 vs Avengers SC Blue G01, HW 34%, AW 36%, T 30%, pred score 1-1.1
02/09/2013 Avengers SC Blue G01 vs Los Gauchos SC G01, HW 18%, AW 58%, T 24%, pred score 0.8-1.7
02/09/2013 Los Gauchos SC G01 vs Rebels Soccer Club Lopez G01, HW 17%, AW 49%, T 34%, pred score 0.5-1
02/09/2013 Rebels Soccer Club Lopez G01 vs Arsenal FC White G01, HW 65%, AW 8%, T 28%, pred score 1.4-0.3
02/10/2013 Arsenal FC White G01 vs Los Gauchos SC G01, HW 17%, AW 52%, T 30%, pred score 0.6-1.2
02/10/2013 Rebels Soccer Club Lopez G01 vs Avengers SC Blue G01, HW 73%, AW 7%, T 20%, pred score 1.9-0.4 
 
Bracket S 
02/09/2013 Eagles SC G01 vs BYSC Corona United Blue G01, HW 76%, AW 6%, T 18%, pred score 2-0.4
02/09/2013 San Diego Surf SC G01 vs Strikers FC Macias G01, HW 3%, AW 86%, T 11%, pred score 0.3-2.7
02/10/2013 BYSC Corona United Blue G01 vs San Diego Surf SC G01, HW 81%, AW 6%, T 13%, pred score 2.6-0.6
02/10/2013 Eagles SC G01 vs Strikers FC Macias G01, HW 55%, AW 12%, T 33%, pred score 1.1-0.4
02/10/2013 San Diego Surf SC G01 vs Eagles SC G01, HW 0%, AW 98%, T 2%, pred score 0.2-4.4
02/10/2013 Strikers FC Macias G01 vs BYSC Corona United Blue G01, HW 48%, AW 21%, T 31%, pred score 1.2-0.7 
 
Bracket T 
02/09/2013 Real So Cal White G01 vs FC Golden State G01, HW 65%, AW 14%, T 21%, pred score 1.9-0.7
02/09/2013 Tustin United G01 vs San Diego Surf SC White G01, HW 0%, AW 100%, T 0%, pred score 0.2-6.4
02/10/2013 FC Golden State G01 vs Tustin United G01, HW 79%, AW 7%, T 13%, pred score 2.7-0.7
02/10/2013 Real So Cal White G01 vs San Diego Surf SC White G01, HW 13%, AW 64%, T 23%, pred score 0.6-1.7
02/10/2013 San Diego Surf SC White G01 vs FC Golden State G01, HW 87%, AW 3%, T 9%, pred score 2.9-0.4
02/10/2013 Tustin United G01 vs Real So Cal White G01, HW 1%, AW 95%, T 4%, pred score 0.4-4.2

3 comments:

  1. Amazing stuff. Bracket Q was spot on with finishing postitions + I forget which others i looked at as well, were 100%.

    will you be calculating the leg or 2 for state cup?

    ReplyDelete
  2. Yeah, I'll be doing the 2nd leg as soon as the games are up. The team names aren't on the SoCal website yet for the Round of 64. I'm guessing maybe they'll wait til this weekends games are done. Predictions should start to get more uncertain as the cup continues, because when similar strength teams face each other, it's a even bet who wins.

    I'll also run some stats for the prelim predictions. There's a lot of games so I can see if I predicted the percent of HWs, AWs, & Ties correctly and see if I got the mean GDs right. I suspect that I under-predicted 0s (no goal)---since I saw that in the WA state cup.

    --LP

    ReplyDelete
  3. Thanks for the reply.

    I will be looking forward to seeing your predictions.

    Your work impressed a lot of parents on the Carlsbad Lightning GU11 Red team.

    Thanks again.

    ReplyDelete